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Rather than marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is increasingly considered as a combination year, in which diversification-led growth becomes more deeply ingrained in the area's economic model, reducing dependence on hydrocarbons and increasing resilience to external shocks. Forecasts from major institutions broadly assemble on a more powerful GCC growth profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by durable domestic demand, continued non-oil growth, and (to differing degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

3.2 percent growth in 2025, accelerating to 4.5 percent in 2026. Sees momentum improving, with GCC output development predicted to rise from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, showing a shift toward more favorable total conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) tasks international development easing to 3.1 percent in 2026, with sophisticated economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and establishing economies just above 4 percent. On that contrast, a 4.44.5 percent GCC expansion would place the region materially ahead of the world average and somewhat above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, reinforcing the GCC's status as a fairly high-growth pocketprovided that regional danger conditions remain included and reform momentum holds.

Information from the GCC Statistical Center show that non-oil sectors already account for more than 73 percent of total GDP, a share that has continued to increase as governments broaden investment in services, facilities, and technology. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity across the GCC is projected to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, enhancing credit conditions, and rising investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector investment and reform remain main to sustaining this trend. Policy measures targeted at drawing in foreign direct financial investment, easing foreign ownership guidelines, broadening capital markets, and supporting private-sector involvement continue to underpin non-oil growth and minimize the area's direct exposure to oil cost volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer dominate the growth outlook, oil earnings are expected to play an encouraging function in 2026.

Oxford Economics expects Brent crude rates to fall below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, limiting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. However, oil supply is anticipated to rise again in the second half of the year, with a complete loosening up of staying production caps most likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions throughout the GCC remain broadly encouraging of growth. Inflation is anticipated to remain low, with the IMF forecasting average inflation of 2 percent throughout the area in 2026. Steady prices are helping maintain real family incomes and underpin consumer spending, which Oxford Economics expects to grow by approximately 3.5 percent over 20262027.